Bias and Option Expiration
Option expiration week is one of those "love it or hate it" times in the market. I love it as that's when I reap the majority of my rewards for…
ShrinkyLinks
Wahoo! Is it a bear flag or a what? Seems that everybody is focused on chart patterns lately and as a result the patterns aren't working as they traditionally do.…
Trade Like A Navy SEAL
Fear can strike in the market just like anywhere else in life and when it does, the amygdala is in high gear. Irrational thoughts and negative self-talk begin to kick…
ShrinkyLinks
Despite a near 2% gap down for $SPY at the cash open on Friday I noticed the extrinsic value starting to decay quickly ahead of the 3-day weekend. Wanted to…
1st Day Seasonality
I use seasonality as a gauge to manage risk. If seasonal tendencies continue their course then the less likely technical levels are to be broken. When seasonal tendencies lose their…
Complexity Bias
In the trenches of the markets we make decisions on a daily basis as to whether and where our capital is put to work. Perhaps the decision is something as…
ShrinkyLinks
The next time this much focus will be on Jackson Hole this year will be in November when anxious skiers are checking the snow depths. The Jackson Hole showdown between…
Life
The last few weeks in the market have been full of emotions and now that Ben has spoken, we have Irene to focus on as it approaches the East coast.…
Mind The Gap
Out of the blue today a thought entered my head (happens a lot) and I tweeted it to see if anyone had an answer. But that set off a tangent…
ShrinkyLinks
Good riddance to August! Truly one of the most difficult option cycles I can remember. Back in '08 you knew we were headed lower and it seemed easier to manage…
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