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Change In Sentiment Via Price

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Saturday, November 17, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

SHORT TERM Taking a look at a 30-minute chart of the SPX you can see that the overall trend is down. Several levels of one-time support have given way providing…

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Nervous Tick

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Wednesday, November 14, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

Wednesday's selling was more than just mom and pop worried about the fiscal cliff that they've been inundated with of late. In fact, if you look at this chart you…

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Thoughts On The SPY

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Thursday, November 8, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

Before reading further please consider my trading style. I sell premium in far out-of-the-money options which allows me to be less specific on technical levels. In other words, I'm not…

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Market View

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Sunday, October 21, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

I mainly focus on the SPX in my analysis as that's what I trade. Here's some charts that caught my eye this weekend. Keep in mind that we have the…

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What’s the deal with Thursdays before opex?

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Monday, July 16, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

Is there any truth to the saying that the Thursday before option expiration is typically the low heading into the next week? In a word, no. I see no edge…

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April’s SPX Range

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Sunday, April 1, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

As a premium seller I've already been in the month of April for two weeks. One of the data points I track is the range for both the option cycle…

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What’s The 30-Day Volatility Telling Us?

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Tuesday, February 14, 2012
  • Post category:Commentary

I promised myself that I wasn't going to post anything until my book is done...just another failed New Years resolution I guess. If you look at the chart below you…

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How Strong Was Today?

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Wednesday, November 30, 2011
  • Post category:Commentary

Take a look at the SPX chart below that shows a daily close .42% outside the +2 standard deviation for volatility. Going back 5 years there were five other occasions…

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1982 vs. 1974

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Monday, October 17, 2011
  • Post category:Commentary

There is no doubt been some aggressive price action over the past two weeks in the broader market. So much so that this October is off to the third best…

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Another Brick

  • Post author:Darren Miller, Ph.D.
  • Post published:Friday, September 23, 2011
  • Post category:Commentary

I love using the hard work and knowledge of others rather than stretching my own resources so thin that I'm unable to focus on my core strategy of selling premium.…

Continue ReadingAnother Brick
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